MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 18:41:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Leverkusen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Freiburg logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 3
Freiburg

Demirbay (16'), Schick (65')
Tah (5'), Amiri (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ginter (48'), Gregoritsch (51'), Doan (72')
Hofler (34'), Gregoritsch (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Freiburg

We expect to see goals at both ends in Leverkusen on Saturday, with a draw the most likely outcome. The hosts should have gained confidence from finally ending their losing run last weekend, while Freiburg may be content with adding another point to the board having made an excellent start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
56.81% (3.416 3.42) 22.53% (-0.919 -0.92) 20.66% (-2.499 -2.5)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.453 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.16% (1.064 1.06)44.84% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.8% (1.017 1.02)67.2% (-1.02 -1.02)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (1.57 1.57)15.57% (-1.573 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.48% (2.845 2.85)44.52% (-2.848 -2.85)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (-1.766 -1.77)35.72% (1.763 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (-1.861 -1.86)72.49% (1.858 1.86)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 56.8%
    Freiburg 20.66%
    Draw 22.52%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.566 0.57)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.391 0.39)
3-0 @ 5.96% (0.641 0.64)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.32 0.32)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.426 0.43)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.101 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.168 0.17)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 56.8%
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.44 -0.44)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.562 -0.56)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.507 -0.51)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.275 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.66%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen
55.4%
Draw
17.9%
Freiburg
26.8%
56
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 19, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Grifo (33' pen.), Schade (84')
Schlotterbeck (30'), Holer (86')
Aranguiz (45+1')
Frimpong (32'), Andrich (39'), Odilon (82')
Feb 28, 2021 5pm
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Freiburg
Bailey (70')
Aranguiz (68'), Bailey (71')
Demirovic (50'), Holer (61')
Demirovic (21'), Hofler (73'), Sallai (77')
Nov 1, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Holer (3'), Petersen (72')
Kubler (45+1'), Heintz (50')
Alario (29', 42'), Amiri (64'), Tah (76')
Bender (24'), Diaby (60')
May 29, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Baez
Fritz
2 3
6 6
Result
Griekspoor
Rune
6 4 6
4 6 3
Result
Humbert
Struff
5 4
7 6
Result
Hurkacz
Altmaier
6 77
4 62
10am
Paul
Cerundolo
Result
Rublev
Davidovich Fokina
712 6
610 4
Result
Seyboth Wild
Alcaraz
3 3
6 6
10am
Shapovalov
Zverev
Result
Sherif
Rybakina
1 4
6 6
Result
Krueger
Bejlek
3 1
6 6
Result
Putintseva
Dolehide
6 6
2 2
Result
Pavlyuchenkova
Kasatkina
65 5
77 7
Result
Vondrousova
Andreeva
5 1
7 6
Result
Garcia
Paolini
3 2
6 6
Result
Collins
Cristian
3 6 6
6 4 1
7.10pm
Montgomery
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Werder Bremen31107144150-937
11Heidenheim30810124352-934
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!