Home > Football > Bundesliga
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.68%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
45.96% ( 1.28) | 21.44% ( -0.3) | 32.6% ( -0.98) |
Both teams to score 70.11% ( 0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.86% ( 1.15) | 29.14% ( -1.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.86% ( 1.39) | 50.14% ( -1.39) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.46% ( 0.87) | 13.54% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.39% ( 1.72) | 40.61% ( -1.72) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% ( 0.06) | 18.91% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.6% ( 0.1) | 50.4% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.07% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.45% Total : 32.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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