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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Freiburg logo

FC Koln
0 - 0
Freiburg


Finkgrafe (74')
FT

Kubler (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, April 28 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Freiburg

Apart from Streich's impressive record against Koln — 12 wins in 17 — Freiburg's three-match winning sequence on their travels and the Billy Goats' form of four losses in five home matches make the visitors undoubted favourites to nick maximum points in Cologne this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawFreiburg
43.72% (0.808 0.81) 24.49% (0.103 0.1) 31.78% (-0.906 -0.91)
Both teams to score 58.3% (-0.738 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.58% (-0.801 -0.8)44.42% (0.806 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (-0.781 -0.78)66.79% (0.786 0.79)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03)20.43% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (0.043999999999997 0.04)52.88% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (-0.95 -0.95)26.73% (0.954 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (-1.27 -1.27)61.99% (1.275 1.28)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 43.72%
    Freiburg 31.78%
    Draw 24.49%
FC KolnDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.086 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.305 0.31)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 43.72%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.189 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.78%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Freiburg

FC Koln
25.3%
Draw
18.4%
Freiburg
56.3%
87
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Freiburg
2-0
FC Koln
Gregoritsch (72'), Sallai (90+4')
Hofler (40')

Ljubicic (27'), Chabot (31'), Kainz (57')
Chabot (62')
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
FC Koln
0-1
Freiburg
Doan (54')
Nov 6, 2022 4.30pm
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
FC Koln
1-0
Freiburg
Modeste (23')
Thielmann (65'), Ljubicic (68')

Woo-yeong (81'), Hofler (83')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-1
FC Koln
Czichos (89' og.)
Schade (74')
Modeste (34')
Kainz (51'), Modeste (69')
Kainz (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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