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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | RB Leipzig |
29.38% ( -0.03) | 22.99% ( -0.01) | 47.63% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 62.3% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.42% ( 0) | 38.58% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.12% ( 0) | 60.87% ( -0.01) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.63% ( -0.02) | 25.36% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.84% ( -0.03) | 60.16% ( 0.03) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.47% ( 0.02) | 16.53% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.72% ( 0.03) | 46.28% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.38% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 47.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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