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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
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FC Koln
3 - 2
Mainz 05

Skhiri (60'), Ljubicic (78'), Kilian (82')
Chabot (34'), Modeste (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burkardt (14'), Onisiwo (55')
Caricol (36'), Stach (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

Last Six:
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Jahn vs. FC Koln
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Mainz 05

Last Six:
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Mainz 05

 Both sides will be keen to return to winning ways as they look to end the campaign on a high by securing at least a top-half finish. The visitors have struggled away from home for some time, and although they were victorious in their last visit to Koln, we feel that the hosts will do enough to claim all three points, especially if Modeste is fit to lead the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawMainz 05
45.49%24.22%30.28%
Both teams to score 58.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15%43.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76%66.24%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56%19.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73%51.27%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59%27.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11%62.88%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 45.49%
    Mainz 05 30.28%
    Draw 24.22%
FC KolnDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.25%
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-1 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.28%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Mainz 05

FC Koln
53.8%
Draw
30.8%
Mainz 05
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 4.30pm
Mainz 05
1-1
FC Koln
Burkardt (41')
Bell (42'), Szalai (90+1')
Ozcan (47')
Duda (54')
> Preview
Apr 11, 2021 5pm
FC Koln
2-3
Mainz 05
Duda (43' pen.), Skhiri (61')
Duda (22'), Katterbach (34')
Boetius (11'), Onisiwo (65'), Barreiro (90+1')
Mwene (42')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
0-1
FC Koln

Niakhate (37'), Latza (45+1'), Onisiwo (67'), Stoger (75')
Rexhbecaj (55')
Ozcan (70'), Duda (75'), Horn (81')
Duda (76')
May 17, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Mainz 05
Oct 25, 2019 7.30pm
Mainz 05
3-1
FC Koln
Boetius (21'), Quaison (57'), Oztunali (82')
Kunde (48'), Niakhate (60')
Terodde (14')
Bornauw (41'), Hector (80')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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