Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 47.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Rio Ave |
25.94% ( -0.72) | 26.76% ( 0.32) | 47.3% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 47.52% ( -1.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.24% ( -1.61) | 56.76% ( 1.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.3% ( -1.31) | 77.7% ( 1.31) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.53% ( -1.49) | 37.47% ( 1.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.75% ( -1.49) | 74.25% ( 1.49) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.99% ( -0.51) | 24.01% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.73% ( -0.74) | 58.27% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.94% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.59) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.52% Total : 47.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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