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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Leipzig logo

Stuttgart
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

Ahamada (31')
Wamangituka (64'), Mola (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nkunku (8')
Sorloth (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-5 Bayern
Saturday, July 30 at 7.30pm in DFL-Supercup

We said: Stuttgart 1-3 RB Leipzig

While a Kalajdzic-inspired Stuttgart can feel optimistic about their chances of breaking down a Leipzig defence that has shipped goal after goal already this summer, the towering Austrian may not be in peak physical condition for the opening day. Tedesco's squad is not in perfect shape either, but with Nkunku seeking to pick up where he left off and Bayern already feeling the full force of Roten Bullen's attacking talent, we are backing Leipzig to pick up a straightforward opening-day success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 57.21%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 21.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 0-1 (8.46%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawRB Leipzig
21.41% (-0.235 -0.23) 21.38% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 57.21% (0.169 0.17)
Both teams to score 59.4% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.39% (-0.618 -0.62)38.61% (0.616 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.09% (-0.655 -0.66)60.91% (0.654 0.65)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (-0.568 -0.57)31.46% (0.565 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (-0.658 -0.66)67.84% (0.65799999999999 0.66)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.66% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)13.34% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.78% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)40.22% (0.302 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 21.41%
    RB Leipzig 57.21%
    Draw 21.38%
StuttgartDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.85% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 2.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 21.41%
1-1 @ 9.78% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.122 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.38%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.154 0.15)
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.199 0.2)
1-3 @ 6.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.72% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 3.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.88% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 57.21%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig

Stuttgart
22.4%
Draw
9.4%
RB Leipzig
68.2%
85
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
0-2
RB Leipzig

Coulibaly (8'), Tibidi (53'), Matarazzo (55'), Kalajdzic (90+2')
Silva (11' pen.), Nkunku (70')
Poulsen (55')
Aug 20, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
Stuttgart
Szoboszlai (38', 52'), Forsberg (46'), Silva (65' pen.)

Kempf (64'), Forster (68'), Mavropanos (71')
Apr 25, 2021 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Stuttgart
Haidara (46'), Forsberg (67' pen.)
Konate (24'), Henrichs (76')

Ahamada (14')
Jan 2, 2021 7.30pm
Feb 16, 2019 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-3
RB Leipzig
Zuber (16' pen.)
Castro (22')
Poulsen (6', 74'), Sabitzer (68')
Sabitzer (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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