Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Girona |
35.62% ( -0.01) | 26.75% ( -0) | 37.62% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.68% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.61% ( 0.01) | 53.39% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.07% ( 0.01) | 74.93% ( -0.01) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( -0) | 28.7% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.47% ( -0) | 64.53% ( 0) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.49% ( 0.01) | 27.51% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.98% ( 0.02) | 63.02% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |