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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Millwall |
41.92% | 26.96% | 31.12% |
Both teams to score 49.99% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.93% ( -0) | 55.07% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.67% | 76.33% |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.07% ( -0) | 25.94% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.07% | 60.94% |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.49% ( -0) | 32.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.96% ( -0) | 69.04% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 45 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 90 | 57 | 33 | 93 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 69 | 57 | 12 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |