Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 11.15am UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle1 - 3Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, March 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax
Only wins will do for Ajax from this stage onwards, yet we expect them to have to battle for maximum points here. Nevertheless, that is exactly what they need, and a hard-fought victory could stand them in good stead going forward. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 38.02% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.03%) and 1-3 (4.91%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Ajax |
38.02% ( 0.23) | 21.97% ( 0.15) | 40.01% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 69.5% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
