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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Alaves logo

Real Madrid
vs.
Alaves

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's La Liga clash with Alaves.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 2-2 Girona
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in La Liga

We say: Real Madrid 3-1 Alaves

Alaves will enter this match in excellent form, and we are backing the Basque team to give their supporters a goal to cheer on Tuesday night. Real Madrid are so difficult to stop at the moment, though, and the capital giants should post their 29th league win of the season here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70%. A draw has a probability of 18.1% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 11.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.57%), while for an Alaves win it is 0-1 (3.82%).

Result
Real MadridDrawAlaves
70% (-0.343 -0.34) 18.06% (0.169 0.17) 11.94% (0.173 0.17)
Both teams to score 49.36% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.69% (-0.324 -0.32)41.31% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29% (-0.329 -0.33)63.71% (0.329 0.33)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.37% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)10.63% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.54% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)34.45% (0.392 0.39)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.23% (0.082999999999998 0.08)44.76% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.25% (0.067 0.07)80.74% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 69.99%
    Alaves 11.94%
    Draw 18.06%
Real MadridDrawAlaves
2-0 @ 11.95%
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.93% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 5.01% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.02% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 69.99%
1-1 @ 8.57% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 18.06%
0-1 @ 3.82% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.45% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 11.94%

Who will win Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Alaves?

Real Madrid
Draw
Alaves
Real Madrid
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Alaves
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Alaves
0-1
Real Madrid

Duarte (45'), Lopez (83'), Tenaglia (90')
Vazquez (90+2')
Ancelotti (39'), Bellingham (84')
Nacho (54')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Real Madrid
3-0
Alaves
Asensio (63'), Junior (80'), Benzema (90+1' pen.)
Modric (33')

N'Diaye (48')
Aug 14, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 1
Alaves
1-4
Real Madrid
Joselu (65' pen.)
Garcia (35')
Benzema (48', 62'), Nacho (56'), Junior (90+2')
Bale (53'), Courtois (64')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Alaves
1-4
Real Madrid
Joselu (59')
Navarro (10'), Garcia (49'), Laguardia (79'), Sainz (85'), Mendez (90+2')
Casemiro (15'), Benzema (41', 70'), Hazard (45+1')
Militao (59'), Mendy (86'), Benzema (88')
Nov 28, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
1-2
Alaves
Casemiro (86')
Casemiro (18'), Kroos (61')
Perez (5' pen.), Joselu (49')
Rioja (67'), Duarte (76'), Mendez (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Villarreal35139135960-148
9Valencia34138133739-247
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
17Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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