Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmö)
Malmo3 - 0Dudelange
Kiese Thelin (54'), Toivonen (81'), Birmancevic (85')
Kiese Thelin (59'), Rakip (80'), Birmancevic (86')
Kiese Thelin (59'), Rakip (80'), Birmancevic (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malmo 0-2 Zalgiris
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Champions League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | AIK Fotboll | 15 | 7 | 31 |
| 3 | Malmo | 16 | 9 | 30 |
| 4 | Hacken | 15 | 10 | 29 |
Last Game: Dudelange 1-4 Pyunik
Tuesday, July 26 at 6.30pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 26 at 6.30pm in Champions League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
We said: Malmo 2-1 F91 Dudelange
While it cannot be ruled out that Malmo's woes could continue against another unassuming opponent this week, a squad with plenty of European experience should take at least a one-goal lead to Luxembourg. Dudelange can be vulnerable defensively, as evidenced by their second-half collapse last time out, and are likely to concede more than once. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for F91 Dudelange had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest F91 Dudelange win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | F91 Dudelange |
51.91% ( -0) | 22.91% ( 0) | 25.19% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
