Sheriff Tiraspol0 - 2Real Sociedad
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Sunday, October 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-3 Real Sociedad
Despite a brave performance against Manchester United, the quality eventually told as the Moldovan side suffered a 2-0 defeat at the hands of the Red Devils. We can see a similar outcome here, as a rotated Real Sociedad squad should have just enough to avoid an upset. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Real Sociedad |
19.78% ( -2.03) | 24.63% ( 1.23) | 55.59% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 46.57% ( -6.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
