Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.68%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Real Sociedad |
29.2% ( 0.06) | 30.12% ( -0.02) | 40.68% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 40.72% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.75% ( 0.08) | 66.25% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.24% ( 0.05) | 84.76% ( -0.05) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.95% ( 0.09) | 40.05% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.3% ( 0.09) | 76.7% ( -0.09) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.93% ( 0.02) | 32.07% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.46% ( 0.02) | 68.54% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.11% | 0-1 @ 14.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 40.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
R | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |