Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Las Palmas |
48.62% ( 0.31) | 25.77% ( 0.29) | 25.6% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 50.08% ( -1.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.72% ( -1.54) | 53.28% ( 1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.16% ( -1.33) | 74.83% ( 1.32) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% ( -0.51) | 21.93% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.79% ( -0.77) | 55.2% ( 0.77) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.14% ( -1.33) | 35.85% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.37% ( -1.4) | 72.63% ( 1.4) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.24% Total : 48.61% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.94% Total : 25.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |