Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw has a probability of 21.1% and a win for Osasuna has a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10%), while for a Osasuna win it is 0-1 (5.03%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
61.79% ( 1.08) | 21.11% ( -0.89) | 17.08% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.49% ( 2.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.96% ( 3.49) | 44.03% ( -3.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.58% ( 3.32) | 66.41% ( -3.33) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.28% ( 1.48) | 13.71% ( -1.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.04% ( 2.87) | 40.95% ( -2.88) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.83% ( 1.84) | 39.16% ( -1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.12% ( 1.69) | 75.87% ( -1.69) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 10.66% ( -1.08) 2-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.39) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.33) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.23) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.93% Total : 61.78% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.46) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.86) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.11% | 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.08% Total : 17.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |