Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
38.05% | 29.52% | 32.43% |
Both teams to score 43.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.24% | 63.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.99% | 83.01% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.62% | 32.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% | 68.89% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.83% | 36.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.05% | 72.94% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 13.2% 2-1 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.73% Total : 38.04% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.51% | 0-1 @ 11.91% 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.96% Total : 32.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
9 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |