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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Atletico Madrid logo

Cadiz
2 - 0
Atletico

Juanmi (24', 64')
Juanmi (31'), Sobrino (48'), Alcaraz (71'), Alejo (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Depay (30'), Molina (52'), Morata (62'), Vermeeren (84'), Llorente (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's away form this season has been disappointing, but they will fancy their chances of beating their relegation-threatened opponents on Saturday. Cadiz have drawn a league-high 13 games this term, but we are expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
25.89% (-0.149 -0.15) 26.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 47.43% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.71% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.51% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)56.49% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.51% (-0.029 -0.03)77.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64% (-0.151 -0.15)37.36% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85% (-0.15 -0.15)74.15% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (0.063000000000002 0.06)23.84% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (0.088000000000001 0.09)58.02% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 25.89%
    Atletico Madrid 47.43%
    Draw 26.67%
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.89%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.91% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 12.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 9.16% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.43%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Atletico

Cadiz
6.9%
Draw
14.7%
Atletico Madrid
78.4%
102
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico
3-2
Cadiz
Correa (32', 66'), Molina (46')
Koke (12')
Pires (12'), Marti (27')
Marti (39'), Sobrino (90+2'), Kouame (90+3')
May 3, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 33
Atletico
5-1
Cadiz
Griezmann (2', 27'), Morata (49'), Carrasco (57' pen.), Molina (73')
Lozano (72')
Oct 29, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Cadiz
3-2
Atletico
Bongonda (1'), Fernandez (81'), Sobrino (90+9')
Hernandez (85' og.), Felix (89')
Aug 4, 2022 8pm
Club Friendlies
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Gimenez (87')
Cala (21'), Gil (45+1'), Fali (45+1')
Morata (13'), Niguez (45'), Wass (46'), Griezmann (51')
Griezmann (56')
Mar 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 28
Atletico
2-1
Cadiz
Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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