Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
25.89% ( -0.15) | 26.68% ( -0.02) | 47.43% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 47.71% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.51% ( -0.04) | 56.49% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.51% ( -0.03) | 77.49% ( 0.03) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.64% ( -0.15) | 37.36% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.85% ( -0.15) | 74.15% ( 0.15) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% ( 0.06) | 23.84% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% ( 0.09) | 58.02% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.89% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |