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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Cadiz logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Cadiz

Lejeune (78')
Crespo (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hernandez (90+1')
Alejo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 2-2 Celta Vigo
Sunday, February 25 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Cadiz

Rayo's home form has been poor this season, picking up just nine points from 12 matches, but Cadiz boast the third-worst away record and are yet to win on their travels this term. Both teams need a win at a crucial stage of the campaign, but we have had to back an uneventful goalless draw between the two strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawCadiz
46.21% (-0.569 -0.57) 27.51% (-0.126 -0.13) 26.27% (0.691 0.69)
Both teams to score 45.71% (0.857 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79% (0.827 0.83)59.2% (-0.831 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37% (0.632 0.63)79.63% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.093999999999994 0.09)25.63% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (0.13 0.13)60.52% (-0.135 -0.13)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (1.07 1.07)38.53% (-1.076 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (1.007 1.01)75.28% (-1.012 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 46.21%
    Cadiz 26.27%
    Draw 27.51%
Rayo VallecanoDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 13.44% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.239 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 46.21%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.88% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.181 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.12 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 26.27%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz

Rayo Vallecano
56.5%
Draw
34.8%
Cadiz
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Cadiz
0-0
Rayo Vallecano
Gomez (5'), Hernandez (45+4'), Alejo (51'), Hernandez (59'), Alcaraz (73')
Francisco (0'), Espino (43'), Chavarria (43'), Trejo (43'), Ciss (68'), Lejeune (82'), Mumin (88')
Mumin (88')
Feb 25, 2023 3.15pm
Oct 22, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 11
Rayo Vallecano
5-1
Cadiz
Isi (44' pen.), Garcia (45+1'), Lejeune (63', 89'), Camello (79')
Balliu (82' og.)
Mar 6, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 27
Cadiz
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Alcaraz (55'), Idrissi (63')
Akapo (10'), Alcaraz (37'), Idrissi (45+1'), Alejo (65'), Sobrino (82')

Isi (12'), Garcia (45+2'), Maras (62')
Sep 26, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Rayo Vallecano
3-1
Cadiz
Garcia (9'), Falcao (44'), Isi (87')
Isi (50'), Balliu (59')
Haroyan (23')
Bastida (45+1'), Haroyan (48'), Cala (56'), Perea (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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