Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
29% | 27.2% | 43.8% |
Both teams to score 48.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.24% | 56.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.3% | 77.7% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.03% | 34.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.29% | 71.71% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.27% | 25.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.34% | 60.66% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.13% Total : 29% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 8.29% 1-3 @ 3.94% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |