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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Almeria

Real Valladolid
1 - 0
Almeria

Weissman (90+3')
Sanchez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Akieme (14'), de la Hoz (41'), Embarba (76'), Fernandes (80'), Samu (90+1'), Milovanovic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, August 27 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Almeria

There is not too much between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting a tight match on Monday evening. A defeat for either would be damaging for their confidence, even at this stage of the season, but we can see a close match finishing all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAlmeria
45.98% (3.826 3.83) 25.55% (-0.251 -0.25) 28.46% (-3.58 -3.58)
Both teams to score 52.94% (-1.044 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (-0.511 -0.51)50.6% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (-0.453 -0.45)72.51% (0.449 0.45)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (1.593 1.59)21.99% (-1.597 -1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (2.357 2.36)55.3% (-2.36 -2.36)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (-2.784 -2.78)32.14% (2.78 2.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (-3.283 -3.28)68.62% (3.279 3.28)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 45.98%
    Almeria 28.46%
    Draw 25.55%
Real ValladolidDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.7 0.7)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.347 0.35)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.881 0.88)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.382 0.38)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.614 0.61)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.219 0.22)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.293 0.29)
4-2 @ 1% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.464 -0.46)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.616 -0.62)
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.647 -0.65)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.459 -0.46)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.402 -0.4)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.46%

How you voted: Real Valladolid vs Almeria

Real Valladolid
43.9%
Draw
31.7%
Almeria
24.5%
139
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 5.15pm
Real Valladolid
2-2
Almeria
Mesa (23'), Toni (48')
Toni (24'), Mesa (57')
Ramazani (20'), Ely (88')
Akieme (21'), Samu (59'), Eguaras (73'), Puigmal (77'), de la Hoz (90'), Sadiq (90+6')
Nov 20, 2021 7.30pm
Almeria
3-1
Real Valladolid
Ramazani (52'), Akieme (70'), Portillo (86')
Samu (45+2'), de la Hoz (77'), Babic (90+2')
Ramos (8' og.)
Perez (30'), Leon (42')
Plano (37')
Mar 18, 2018 11am
Real Valladolid
2-1
Almeria
Plano (60'), Mata (86')
Martinez (88'), Gianniotas (90')
Marreh (3')
Rodriguez (54'), Marreh (90')
Oct 15, 2017 5pm
Almeria
1-1
Real Valladolid
Verza (2')
Munoz (78')
Fidel (90')
Mata (36' pen.)
Fernandez (81'), Villa (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12pm
Fritz
Rublev
7pm
Auger-Aliassime
Lehecka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla33911134246-438
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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