Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
38.85% ( -1.17) | 26.73% ( 0.44) | 34.42% ( 0.74) |
Both teams to score 51.62% ( -1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.59% ( -1.68) | 53.4% ( 1.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.06% ( -1.44) | 74.94% ( 1.44) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% ( -1.41) | 26.82% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.88% ( -1.9) | 62.12% ( 1.9) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.54% ( -0.36) | 29.46% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.54% ( -0.44) | 65.46% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.85% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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