Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 37.43% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.22%).
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
37.43% ( 2.35) | 24.32% ( 0.42) | 38.24% ( -2.76) |
Both teams to score 60.26% ( -1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.56% ( -1.76) | 42.44% ( 1.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.16% ( -1.78) | 64.84% ( 1.78) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.42% ( 0.44) | 22.58% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.82% ( 0.65) | 56.18% ( -0.65) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( -2.08) | 22.17% ( 2.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.43% ( -3.24) | 55.57% ( 3.24) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.66) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.43% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.34) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |