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Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Apr 20, 2024 at 4am UK
Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez

Atletico San Luis
1 - 5
Toluca

Bilbao (20')
Phillipe (33'), Dourado (34'), Escobar (47')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Vega (13'), Angulo (30'), Meneses (52', 58'), Garcia (69')
Baeza (45+5'), Bilbao (47')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atletico San Luis and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 5-1 Toluca
Sunday, April 14 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 37.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.24%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Atletico San LuisDrawToluca
37.98% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 23.13% (-0.02 -0.02) 38.89% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 64.87% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.53% (0.102 0.1)36.47% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.39% (0.11 0.11)58.61% (-0.106 -0.11)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (0.075000000000003 0.08)19.67% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (0.121 0.12)51.65% (-0.116 -0.12)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02)19.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.03% (0.039000000000001 0.04)50.97% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atletico San Luis 37.98%
    Toluca 38.89%
    Draw 23.12%
Atletico San LuisDrawToluca
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 37.98%
1-1 @ 10.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.8% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.02% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 38.89%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 14
Toluca
3-1
Atletico San Luis
Villegas (18'), Angulo (69', 90+3')
Baeza (52'), Angulo (61'), Villegas (65'), Venegas (85'), Violante (88')
Zaldivar (83')
Murillo (16'), Dourado (31')
Dourado (45+2')
Feb 26, 2023 6pm
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 10
Atletico San Luis
1-0
Toluca
Murillo (45+3')
Gonzalez (61'), (90+6')

Sierra (65')
Feb 12, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 5
Atletico San Luis
0-1
Toluca

Juarez (3'), Waller (45+5')
Sanvezzo (4')
Garcia (13')
Rigonato Rodrigues (45+4')
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 10
Toluca
1-2
Atletico San Luis
Gonzalez (45' pen.)
Rigonato Rodrigues (45+3'), Torres (88'), Chavez (90+1')
Berterame (24' pen., 39')
Lozano (20'), Waller (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Club AmericaAmerica17124137142340
2MonterreyMonterrey17103427151233
3Tigres1786332181430
4PumasPumas178452718928
5CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara178362222027
6Atletico San Luis177283126523
7Club TijuanaTijuana177282423123
8Club Leon176562322123
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna177283134-323
10MazatlanMazatlan176472527-222
11PueblaPuebla176472126-522
12PachucaPachuca175751627-1122
13TolucaToluca175662319421
14QueretaroQueretaro175481829-1119
15Juarez175392434-1018
16Cruz AzulCruz Azul1752102129-817
17Atlas174581424-1017
18NecaxaNecaxa173681827-915


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