Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lille win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw has a probability of 22.2% and a win for Nantes has a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Nantes win it is 1-0 (5.67%).
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lille |
18.01% ( 0.09) | 22.25% ( 0.07) | 59.74% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( -0.17) | 47.42% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.37% ( -0.15) | 69.63% ( 0.16) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.92% ( 0) | 40.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.28% ( 0) | 76.72% ( 0) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.53% ( -0.11) | 15.48% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.65% ( -0.2) | 44.35% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.01% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 59.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |