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Ligue 1
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Marseille

Nice
0 - 3
Marseille


Beka Beka (57')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
Tavares (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

Last Six:
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, August 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, August 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-2 Marseille

 Given the talent that they have brought through the door, expectations are high at Nice. Nevertheless, despite improvements likely to be around the corner, we feel that Marseille are a more united group right now and could prevail during the closing stages of an entertaining fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawMarseille
37.06% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 27.48% (-0.203 -0.2) 35.46% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 49.38% (0.643 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.72% (0.79300000000001 0.79)56.28% (-0.79199999999999 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (0.636 0.64)77.32% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (0.35299999999999 0.35)29.23% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (0.43 0.43)65.18% (-0.428 -0.43)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.78% (0.566 0.57)30.22% (-0.562 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61% (0.67 0.67)66.38% (-0.667 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Nice 37.06%
    Marseille 35.46%
    Draw 27.48%
NiceDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.06%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.46%

How you voted: Nice vs Marseille

Nice
20.3%
Draw
20.3%
Marseille
59.5%
74
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
2-1
Nice
Milik (45+3' pen.), Bakambu (89')
Caleta-Car (60'), Saliba (90+1')
Lemina (90+1')
Bard (45'), Lemina (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 8.15pm
Nice
4-1
Marseille
Gouiri (10'), Kluivert (29', 49'), Delort (61')
Kluivert (32'), Daniliuc (90')
Bard (3' og.)
Sampaoli (34'), Balerdi (40')
Oct 27, 2021 8pm
Nice
1-1
Marseille
Gouiri (6')
Guessand (31'), Todibo (90+2')
Payet (42')
Lopez (90+1'), Kamara (90+3')
Mar 20, 2021 4pm
Nice
3-0
Marseille
Thuram (34'), Gouiri (74'), Claude-Maurice (90+1')
Benitez (90')

Caleta-Car (78')
Feb 17, 2021 8pm
Marseille
3-2
Nice
Gonzalez (14'), Khaoui (42', 53')
Kamara (44'), Sakai (90+3')
Gouiri (47'), Sellouki (87')
Lees-Melou (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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