Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Monaco | 4 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Rennes | 4 | -1 | 4 |
14 | Brest | 4 | -6 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Rennes | 4 | -1 | 4 |
14 | Brest | 4 | -6 | 4 |
15 | Troyes | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 9.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Brest |
72.87% ( -0.03) | 17.28% ( 0.02) | 9.85% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.56% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.32% ( -0.04) | 43.68% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.93% ( -0.04) | 66.07% ( 0.04) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.46% ( -0.02) | 10.54% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.75% ( -0.04) | 34.25% ( 0.04) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.81% ( 0) | 50.19% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.21% ( 0) | 84.79% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Brest |
2-0 @ 13.38% 1-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 72.85% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.28% | 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 9.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |