Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We say: Strasbourg 1-0 Metz
Being without Mikautadze is a massive blow to the Metz attack, with the Georgian involved in 72% of their domestic goals in 2024 (13/18), more than anyone in the top five European leagues this year. Le Racing have been sharp defensively against Metz in this competition, posting three successive clean sheets, and we believe the return of Diarra will add a positive dynamic to their attack and give them a slight edge. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Metz has a probability of 31.49% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Metz win is 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.14%).
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Metz |
42.91% ( 0.16) | 25.6% ( 0.03) | 31.49% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.44% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
