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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Atlanta
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Almada (59')
Fortune (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orellano (62'), Acosta (64')
Robinson (83'), Bucha (90+2'), Bucha (89'), Acosta (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 FC Cincinnati

There is very little to split these two teams in the league table and that is something that could end up being reflected in the match this weekend. Cincinnati has struggled in recent weeks and that is something they need to turn around as soon as possible, but Atlanta's strengths could lead to them sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
47.65% (-1.912 -1.91) 23.47% (0.535 0.54) 28.88% (1.377 1.38)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-0.819 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83% (-1.552 -1.55)41.17% (1.554 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-1.599 -1.6)63.57% (1.599 1.6)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (-1.299 -1.3)17.51% (1.299 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98% (-2.316 -2.32)48.02% (2.317 2.32)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.155 0.16)27% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.2 0.2)62.36% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 47.65%
    FC Cincinnati 28.88%
    Draw 23.46%
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.229 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.244 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.194 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 47.65%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.326 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.256 0.26)
0-1 @ 6.19% (0.452 0.45)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.312 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.144 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.88%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Cincinnati

Atlanta United
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
FC Cincinnati
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-2
Atlanta
Badji (25'), Acosta (45+2')
Miazga (73')
Giakoumakis (12', 32')
Almada (36'), Thiare (85')
Almada (51')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati
Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')
Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Cincinnati
1-2
Atlanta
Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')
Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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