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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Cincinnati
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Kubo (3')
Nwobodo (32'), Miazga (45+4'), Orellano (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Amaya (19'), Vanzeir (60')
Amaya (70'), Ngoma (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 New York Red Bulls

Both sides are coming into this match following fairly underwhelming performances last weekend and will be looking for a better showing this week. There is very little to separate these two on paper but Cincinnati's defence, particularly at home, has been impressive and we feel they will be able to manage another shut out here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
55.76% (0.575 0.57) 24.49% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 19.74% (-0.518 -0.52)
Both teams to score 46.89% (-0.585 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (-0.379 -0.38)53.95% (0.375 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.319 -0.32)75.4% (0.315 0.31)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (0.075000000000003 0.08)19.25% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (0.125 0.13)50.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (-0.782 -0.78)41.92% (0.778 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (-0.689 -0.69)78.37% (0.68599999999999 0.69)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 55.75%
    New York Red Bulls 19.74%
    Draw 24.49%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 13.29% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 10.95% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 55.75%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.74%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls

FC Cincinnati
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
New York Red Bulls
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 11pm
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls win 8-7 on penalties
Barlow (45')
Lesesne (40'), Barlow (41'), Reyes (55')
Lesesne (0')
Boupendza (75')
Arias (39'), Mosquera (75'), Miazga (90+10'), Miazga (98')
Oct 30, 2023 12am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY Red Bulls
Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')

Manoel (76'), Nealis (89'), Amaya (90')
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Fernandez (28' pen.)
Ndam (3'), Edelman (45+1'), Vanzeir (64')
Acosta (80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3')
Pinto (19'), Santos (62'), Ordonez (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321811730
2Inter MiamiInter Miami1585235201529
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162119222
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
7Columbus Crew134721612419
8DC United144642023-318
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542421317
10Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
12Orlando City123451420-613
13CF MontrealMontreal133371631-1512
14Chicago Fire142571223-1111
15New England RevolutionNew England12219924-157

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126331914521
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin145451616019
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston135351112-118
9St Louis City133731919016
10Portland TimbersPortland144462627-116
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas133552021-114
12Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
13Dallas123361216-412
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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