Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
42.43% ( -1.3) | 23.45% ( -0.11) | 34.12% ( 1.42) |
Both teams to score 62.97% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.31% ( 1) | 38.68% ( -0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.01% ( 1.04) | 60.99% ( -1.04) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.37% ( -0.14) | 18.63% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.06% ( -0.24) | 49.93% ( 0.24) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( 1.27) | 22.61% ( -1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.76% ( 1.84) | 56.23% ( -1.84) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.56% Total : 42.43% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.29% Total : 34.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |