Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | -12 | 16 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 16 | -8 | 14 |
10 | DC United | 15 | -10 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 16 | 10 | 29 |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 5 | 26 |
3 | CF Montreal | 16 | 4 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
48.28% ( -0.17) | 26.47% ( 0.08) | 25.24% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 47.73% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.82% ( -0.24) | 56.18% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.76% ( -0.2) | 77.24% ( 0.2) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( -0.18) | 23.31% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.75% ( -0.27) | 57.25% ( 0.27) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.24% ( -0.06) | 37.76% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.46% ( -0.06) | 74.54% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.28% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 25.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
13 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |