Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
64.49% ( 1.74) | 19.22% ( -0.08) | 16.29% ( -1.66) |
Both teams to score 57.42% ( -3.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.27% ( -2.75) | 36.73% ( 2.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.11% ( -3.05) | 58.9% ( 3.04) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.25% ( -0.36) | 10.75% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.27% ( -0.79) | 34.73% ( 0.79) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.34% ( -3.55) | 35.67% ( 3.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.56% ( -3.84) | 72.44% ( 3.84) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.98) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.99) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.63) 4-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.4) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.26) 5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.76% Total : 64.49% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.5) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.22% | 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.45% Total : 16.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |