Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
51.22% ( -0.42) | 25.67% ( 0.28) | 23.1% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 47.89% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.09% ( -0.95) | 54.9% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.81% ( -0.79) | 76.19% ( 0.78) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.53% ( -0.56) | 21.47% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.49% ( -0.87) | 54.5% ( 0.86) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.98% ( -0.41) | 39.01% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.26% ( -0.39) | 75.74% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 23.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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