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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Luton
2 - 1
Bournemouth

Clark (73'), Morris (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavernier (52')

The Match

Match Report

Carlton Morris scores a 90th-minute winner as Luton Town hand their Premier League survival chances a major boost with a 2-1 victory over Bournemouth at Kenilworth Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Luton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
33.84% (0.892 0.89) 22.44% (0.197 0.2) 43.72% (-1.085 -1.09)
Both teams to score 66.71% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.25% (-0.65900000000001 -0.66)33.76% (0.663 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.41% (-0.755 -0.75)55.59% (0.758 0.76)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.152 0.15)20.47% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (0.23999999999999 0.24)52.94% (-0.235 -0.23)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.88% (-0.661 -0.66)16.12% (0.665 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.46% (-1.221 -1.22)45.55% (1.226 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 33.84%
    Bournemouth 43.72%
    Draw 22.44%
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.159 0.16)
1-0 @ 5.24% (0.202 0.2)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.3% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.22% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 4.21% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.42% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.92% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-4 @ 1.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 43.72%

How you voted: Luton vs Bournemouth

Luton Town
31.6%
Draw
15.8%
Bournemouth
52.6%
133
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bournemouth
4-3
Luton
Solanke (50'), Zabarnyi (62'), Semenyo (64', 83')
Smith (69')
Chong (9'), Ogbene (31'), Barkley (45+1')
Clark (30'), Ogbene (66')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Luton
3-2
Bournemouth
Kelly (30' og.), Campbell (42'), Naismith (90+6')
Marcondes (51'), Rogers (78')
Lerma (81'), Christie (89')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bournemouth
2-1
Luton
Billing (17'), Solanke (31')
Pearson (49'), Lowe (90+2')
Burke (64')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bournemouth
0-1
Luton

Billing (90+3')
Lerma (26')
Dewsbury-Hall (67')
Pearson (90+2'), Hylton (90+6')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Fulham36128165155-444
13Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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