Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Everton had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Everton |
45.32% ( -1.04) | 27.28% ( 0.41) | 27.4% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 47.11% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.2% ( -1.16) | 57.8% ( 1.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.47% ( -0.93) | 78.53% ( 0.92) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( -1.03) | 25.44% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% ( -1.42) | 60.26% ( 1.42) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.19% ( -0.12) | 36.81% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.4% ( -0.12) | 73.6% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.31% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.81% Total : 27.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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