Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
44.07% ( -0) | 26.04% ( -0.03) | 29.9% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.27% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% ( 0.11) | 51.87% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( 0.1) | 73.63% ( -0.1) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.57% ( 0.05) | 23.43% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.57% ( 0.07) | 57.43% ( -0.07) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.26% ( 0.08) | 31.74% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.84% ( 0.09) | 68.16% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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