Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 72.59%. A draw has a probability of 16.1% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.45%), while for an Arouca win it is 1-2 (3.33%).
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
72.59% ( -2.95) | 16.15% ( 1.61) | 11.26% ( 1.33) |
Both teams to score 54.27% ( -1.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.12% ( -4.18) | 33.88% ( 4.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.27% ( -4.9) | 55.73% ( 4.9) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.89% ( -1.56) | 8.11% ( 1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.51% ( -4.07) | 28.48% ( 4.06) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.06% ( -0.61) | 40.94% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.49% ( -0.55) | 77.5% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
2-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.44) 3-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 1.14) 3-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.57) 4-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.6) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.54) 5-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.53) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.31) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.34) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.26) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.33) Other @ 3.14% Total : 72.58% | 1-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.91) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.68) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.15% | 1-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.56) 0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.42% Total : 11.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |