Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 4 | 9 | 12 |
2 | Braga | 4 | 14 | 10 |
3 | Porto | 4 | 6 | 9 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Arouca | 4 | -8 | 6 |
11 | Vizela | 4 | 0 | 5 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.21%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Vizela |
77.21% ( 1.41) | 14.35% ( -0.96) | 8.45% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 49.45% ( 1.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.83% ( 3.21) | 34.17% ( -3.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.94% ( 3.54) | 56.05% ( -3.54) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.78% ( 1.03) | 7.22% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.81% ( 2.65) | 26.19% ( -2.65) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.3% ( 1.24) | 46.7% ( -1.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.74% ( 0.93) | 82.26% ( -0.93) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Vizela |
2-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.67) 3-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -1.01) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.41) 5-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.19) 5-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.34) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.22) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.2) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.2% Total : 77.2% | 1-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.59) Other @ 0.85% Total : 14.35% | 1-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.33% Total : 8.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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