Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
53.74% | 23.88% | 22.37% |
Both teams to score 52.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.42% | 48.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.3% | 70.7% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.01% | 17.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.14% | 48.86% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.83% | 36.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.05% | 72.95% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.57% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.46% Total : 53.74% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.88% | 0-1 @ 6.62% 1-2 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |