Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
28.28% ( -0.01) | 26.94% ( -0.04) | 44.77% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.65% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.9% ( 0.14) | 56.1% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.82% ( 0.11) | 77.17% ( -0.12) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.82% ( 0.06) | 35.17% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.07% ( 0.07) | 71.92% ( -0.07) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.05% ( 0.08) | 24.94% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.42% ( 0.12) | 59.57% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 28.29% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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