Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moreirense win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Estoril Praia has a probability of 27.94% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win is 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.44%).
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
47.74% ( -1.03) | 24.32% ( 0.39) | 27.94% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 56.58% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.35% ( -1.26) | 45.65% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.03% ( -1.22) | 67.97% ( 1.21) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.78% ( -0.91) | 19.22% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.08% ( -1.52) | 50.91% ( 1.52) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.05% ( -0.18) | 29.95% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.94% ( -0.22) | 66.06% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.15% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.18% Total : 27.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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