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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Porto

Portimonense
0 - 2
Porto


Gomes (4'), Pedrao (72'), Cariello (74'), Costa (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Otavio (22'), Pepe (52')
Taremi (14'), Cardoso (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Portimonense 1-3 Porto

Buoyed by their European victory, Porto will return to Primeira Liga with sky-high confidence as they look to move to the top of the table. While Portimonense have enjoyed a solid start to the season, they have stumbled in recent weeks, losing two of their last three outings. We predict a one-sided affair on Saturday with Porto claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawPorto
17.91% (1.343 1.34) 22.19% (0.565 0.57) 59.91% (-1.899 -1.9)
Both teams to score 50.63% (0.903 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (-0.17 -0.17)47.34% (0.179 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.159 -0.16)69.56% (0.167 0.17)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.85% (1.533 1.53)40.16% (-1.524 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.21% (1.37 1.37)76.79% (-1.361 -1.36)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (-0.667 -0.67)15.4% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81% (-1.269 -1.27)44.2% (1.278 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 17.91%
    Porto 59.9%
    Draw 22.19%
PortimonenseDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.271 0.27)
2-1 @ 4.82% (0.313 0.31)
2-0 @ 2.57% (0.223 0.22)
3-1 @ 1.46% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.37% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 17.91%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.193 0.19)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.19%
0-1 @ 11.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-2 @ 10.82% (-0.44 -0.44)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.75% (-0.442 -0.44)
1-3 @ 6.16% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-4 @ 3.16% (-0.287 -0.29)
1-4 @ 2.88% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.18% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.9%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Porto

Portimonense
6.1%
Draw
3.0%
Porto
90.9%
33
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 8.30pm
Porto
7-0
Portimonense
Taremi (19', 34' pen., 47'), Grujic (28'), Evanilson (40', 60'), Pepe (55')

Aponza (81'), Da Costa (84')
Dec 3, 2021 7pm
Portimonense
0-3
Porto

Portugal (45+4'), Luquinhas (59'), Willyan (77')
Sa (45+3' og.), Vitinha (70'), Otavio (75')
Uribe (54')
Mar 20, 2021 6pm
Portimonense
1-2
Porto
Cande (64')
Dener (26'), Willyan (45+1'), Sergio (67'), Beto (71'), Antonio (71')
Sergio (68'), Sa (90+6')
Possignolo (45+1' og.), Portugal Lima (67' og.)
Conceicao (67'), Marchesin (71'), Oliveira (90')
Conceicao (68')
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Porto
3-1
Portimonense
Mbemba (45+2'), Taremi (46'), Oliveira (89')
Oliveira (56'), Corona (62'), Mbemba (74')
Beto (14')
Antonio (65'), Dener (75'), Cesar (90')
Feb 23, 2020 8.30pm
Porto
1-0
Portimonense
Telles (87')
Otavio (83'), Manafa (88')

Dener (68'), Sa (74'), Henrique (79'), Boa Morte (86'), Willyan (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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