Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
45.47% ( 0.01) | 23.98% ( 0) | 30.55% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.49% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.41% ( -0.01) | 42.59% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35% ( -0.01) | 64.99% ( 0.01) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.06% | 18.94% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.55% | 50.45% ( 0) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% ( -0.01) | 26.61% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% ( -0.01) | 61.84% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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