Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Juventus in this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Genoa |
68.91% | 18.65% | 12.44% |
Both teams to score 48.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.28% | 42.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.87% | 65.13% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.7% | 11.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.05% | 35.94% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.16% | 44.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.19% | 80.81% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 12.04% 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 7.02% 4-0 @ 4.77% 4-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.82% 5-0 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.68% Total : 68.91% | 1-1 @ 8.86% 0-0 @ 5.07% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.65% | 0-1 @ 4.07% 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-2 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.04% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.2% Total : 12.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
15 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |