Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
66.8% | 19.8% | 13.4% |
Both teams to score 47.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.41% | 45.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.08% | 67.91% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.28% | 12.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.05% | 38.95% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.87% | 45.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.96% | 81.04% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-0 @ 12.2% 1-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 6.67% 4-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.66% 5-0 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.99% Total : 66.78% | 1-1 @ 9.42% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.8% | 0-1 @ 4.57% 1-2 @ 3.75% 0-2 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.02% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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