Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Juventus |
17.12% | 21.04% | 61.84% |
Both teams to score 52.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.37% | 43.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.98% | 66.02% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.12% | 38.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.39% | 75.61% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.43% | 13.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.33% | 40.67% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 4.98% 2-1 @ 4.7% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.12% | 1-1 @ 9.95% 0-0 @ 5.27% 2-2 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 0-2 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-4 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 3.13% 2-4 @ 1.56% 0-5 @ 1.4% 1-5 @ 1.32% Other @ 3% Total : 61.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |