MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 04:50:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Mainz logo

RB Leipzig
0 - 0
Mainz


Lukeba (67'), Simons (86')
FT

Caci (20'), Mwene (27'), Amiri (34'), Barreiro (70'), Hanche-Olsen (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 4-1 Mainz 05

Leipzig have shown little mercy to the sides struggling at the bottom in recent weeks, and a similar story could play out this weekend against another. The 8-1 loss at Bayern three weeks ago will still linger in the memory despite the win over Bochum that followed, and Mainz will just hope they do not suffer the same fate this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 75.56%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 9.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawMainz 05
75.56% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 15.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 9.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)36.76% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.08% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.92% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.84% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)8.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.39% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)28.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.94% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)47.06% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.47% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)82.53% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 75.55%
    Mainz 05 9.12%
    Draw 15.33%
RB LeipzigDrawMainz 05
2-0 @ 12.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 6.31% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 3.16% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 75.55%
1-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 15.33%
0-1 @ 2.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 9.12%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Mainz

RB Leipzig
92.0%
Draw
5.3%
Mainz 05
2.7%
75
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Mainz
2-0
RB Leipzig
Jae-sung (76'), Barreiro (80')
Caci (39'), Barkok (88'), van den Berg (90')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
RB Leipzig
0-3
Mainz
Ingvartsen (9'), Ajorque (57'), Kohr (67')
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
4-1
Mainz
Silva (21' pen., 61'), Szoboszlai (47'), Nkunku (58')
Jae-sung (57')
Jae-sung (16'), Bell (59')
Hack (19')
Aug 15, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Mainz
1-0
RB Leipzig
Niakhate (13')
Nebel (48'), Svensson (85')

Kampl (7'), Sabitzer (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Stuttgart33224774393570
3Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg33109144958-939
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!