Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Girona had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Girona |
52.9% ( -1.04) | 23.07% ( 0.14) | 24.03% ( 0.9) |
Both teams to score 57.03% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.67% ( 0.31) | 43.33% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.27% ( 0.3) | 65.73% ( -0.3) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.62% ( -0.26) | 16.38% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.99% ( -0.47) | 46.01% ( 0.46) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.2% ( 0.94) | 31.79% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.77% ( 1.06) | 68.23% ( -1.07) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Girona |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.9% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.65% Total : 24.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |