MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 09:53:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lille

Marseille
2 - 1
Lille

Sanchez (26'), Gigot (61')
Balerdi (14'), Tudor (41'), Gueye (50'), Gigot (57'), Toure (68'), Tavares (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ismaily (12')
Djalo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Spurs 2-0 Marseille
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Lille

Last Six:
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Lille
Sunday, September 4 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-2 Lille

 A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched teams is set to take place on Saturday, with both sides feeling that they have the credentials to come away with maximum points. While goals are to be expected at the Stade Velodrome, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLille
45.55% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.9% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)47.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.44% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)29.61% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (-0.012 -0.01)65.65% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 45.55%
    Lille 29.55%
    Draw 24.89%
MarseilleDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.55%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 29.55%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lille

Marseille
65.3%
Draw
25.5%
Lille
9.2%
98
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Under (75')
Guendouzi (4')
Botman (15')
Andre (30'), Grbic (55'), Celik (55'), Lihadji (86')
Andre (32')
Oct 3, 2021 4pm
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (28', 90+4')
Mandava (11'), Yilmaz (66')

Under (24'), Balerdi (37')
Under (77')
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (90', 90+2')
Sep 20, 2020 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Germain (85')
Nagatomo (21'), Thauvin (58'), Gonzalez (65')
Araujo (47')
Andre (50'), Bradaric (58'), Sanches (80')
Feb 16, 2020 8pm
Lille
1-2
Marseille
Osimhen (51')
Mandava (66' og.), Benedetto (69')
Caleta-Car (9'), Amavi (30'), Benedetto (35'), Strootman (90'), Ake (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525
> Ligue 1 Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!